In the 1980s, Judea Pearl introduced a new approach to artificial intelligence called Bayesian networks. This probability-based model of machine reasoning enabled machines to function—in a complex and uncertain world—as “evidence engines,’ continuously revising their beliefs in l...
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5.3 An Architecture Diagram for Human-Like General Intelligence 97 One possible negative reaction to the integrative diagram might be to say that it’s a kind of Frankenstein monster diagram, piecing together aspects of different theories in a way that violates the theoretical no...
(As a parenthesis, I’d note one policy context when an essentially zero discount rate is applied — radioactive waste disposal, where the depositories are required to prevent leakage for 10000 years — somewhat ironic when we can’t plan the rest of energy policy even 30 years ahead...
4.5 Globalist versus Localist Representations 91 The basic logic of action in Psi is carried out by “triples” that are very similar to CogPrime’s Context \ Procedure > Goal triples. However, an important role is played by four modulators that control how the processes of percept...
4.2.12 WC: 191694 the truth. I turn down most celebrity requests, and cases involving celebrity clients form a tiny fraction of my practice over the years, but the few that I do take garner far more publicity than do the many cases involving unknown clients. Is there anything s...
Understanding 69 In my trivial example, the cat could eat a wire and change the operation of the black box. Now there is an open circuit where none existed before. If this happened, the output would change and we would need a new theory to explain it. If the circuit was attached...
Hyper-Communication 291 Hologram There are still problems. The image is stereo but planar. All the light coming into your eye comes from the screen a meter or so away. In the real world objects need you to change the focal length of your eye to bring them into sharp focus depen...
go with it. Managed this by (a) going on info diet, (b) working 9 p.m.-midnight in a campsite with no other distractions, (c) outsourcing everything that I would find difficult or time consuming (like the tricky programming stuff and the illustrations for my book). After about...
capabilities emerge from regular physical processses, which we can trace down to the level of electrons, photons, quarks, and gluons. Evidently, brute matter can get pretty smart. Let me summarize the argument. From two strongly supported hypotheses, we’ve drawn a straightforwar...
4.2.12 WC: 191694 Of the 328 pieces of mail addressed to Lodge during the first week in April, 209 expressed opposition to world calendar reform on religious grounds. These were the result of a postcard campaign instituted by the Inter-Yeshiva HS Council. The article went on to...
4.2.12 WC: 191694 middle of the music, because Soviet authorities tend to listen to the beginning and end of any music tape to assure that it does not contain forbidden material. I managed to get his statement back to the United States. Shortly thereafter he was released and cam...
… had established the headquarters of the U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet, and in Yemen, where counterterrorism is king, interests trumped values. You didn't hear Obama make any "Qaddafi must go"- style speeches directed against Bahrain's ruling Khalifa family or Yemeni President Ali Abdull...
humanities project among the list of projects the Dean supports. The money did it: as soon as they heard about the gift, they took my project more seriously. Because of that gift, the Faculty of Arts and Sciences, which is space-stingy, found and rewired a studio space for me to...
The two spectacles combined are planting the seeds for new events in the ongoing Arab-Israeli conflict. Obama would not have uttered the magic words "1967 borders" if he had not wanted to woo the new Arab revolutionaries and taken some credit for steering their revolution towards...
This need to understand human actions and decisions applies to physical and nonphysical robots alike. If either sort bases its decision about how to act on the assumption that a human will do one thing but the human does something else, the resulting mismatch could be catastrophi...