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SPX put contingent on higher rates
email IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014310.txt Nov 15, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

From: Ens, Amanda [i Sent: 11/15/2016 2:44:06 PM To: jeffrey E. [[email protected]]; Richard Kahn [inn Subject: SPX put contingent on higher rates Attachments: image001.jpg; image002.jpg; image003.jpg; image005.png Importance: — High Navigating post-Trump volatility ° We...

He was handcuffed to a chair, then transferred to a cell with 30 people before being released 19 hou
email IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012040.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…nd, he cried when he spoke about the ordeal. Isaacson in his closing repeatedly called it extortion. “Because when the bank held Mr. Scudder's passport--I'm sorry, caused his passport to held, that just didn't cause personal pain for Mr. Scudder,” he said. “What it did was give...

Ralf Preusser, CFA Herve Belmas
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014758.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ck at 2.50% (25-delta), i.e., ATM +69bp. The cost is US$165K, equivalent to 17bp of yield. We target a PNL of USS300K. Bankof America 28 Global Rates, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead | 16 November 2016 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014758

Notable trends and dislocations (Europe)
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014982.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…nflation) but inter-sector correlation now seems supported likely driven by the unwind of reflation trades (Chart 18). Bankof America <> ariective Merrill Lynch Global Equity Volatility Insights | 20 June 2017 11 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014982

Ristimaki Boulan PO:US$20 PO:US$21 PO:US$21
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023607.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…rey shading indicates the security is not covered. Chart is current as of May 31,2017 or such later date as indicated. Bankof America <> ariective Merrill Lynch Global Equity Volatility Insights | O06 June 2017 33 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023607

Eurozone political calendar 2017
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014474.txt Mar 15, 2017 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ere Renzi stays and no snap election, given current polls and the outstanding electoral reform court case. BTPs and the banks recaps remain a tail risks for the Italian economy, although the ECB extending QE should help. A big “No” vote would boost Five Star and undermine Renzi i...

Summary of Open Trades (19-Jun-17)
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014992.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…well for outperformance Cheapen long XLF upside to near 8y lows via selling upside on structurally challenged European banks & relatively more bearish outlook for US rates vs EU USDJPY and NKY the biggest beneficiaries of a Trump win Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged...

Summary of Open Trades (5-Jun-17)
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023597.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…well for outperformance Cheapen long XLF upside to near 8y lows via selling upside on structurally challenged European banks & relatively more bearish outlook for US rates vs EU Still depressed equity-bond correlation (US 5Y bonds vs. SPX in the 37th%-ile since Jun-88) cheapens...

Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014436.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic 950 r 40 0.43 ——MSCI EM _ 900 SSW eG TRS EN LSI SEE ERG ; , ———S&P 500 Banks relative to Food & Bev 0.39 (RHS) 850 0.37 0.35 800 0.33 750 0.31 700 0.29 0.27 650 0.25 Oo Oo Wo Oo Oo Ob...

Citigroup Inc. (C)
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014380.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… our DCF analysis by 20%. Near term, we view C's current market multiple as overly discounted, but expect money center banks will likely continue to trade at a discount to the regionals. Our 1x TBV multiple represents a 0.3x discount to our median multiple for our universe. Our...