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RE: Financials: buy XLF call spreads
email TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011280.txt Dec 9, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…cials research analyst, just returned from a marketing trip. Bottom line: North American investors are very bullish the banks (long only AND hedge funds AND macro funds), but then conclude "I don't own enough". Note that high touch flows have slowed down significantly since Thank...

Fwd: My Thoughts on Currencies
email TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026637.txt Nov 29, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…from the last few years, when 'the Fed was the only game in town' and everyone and everything floated higher by central bank liquidity... In any case, the dollar should be in a good position to thrive, I think. Economic Olympics. The markets are no longer driven only by the Fed a...

The combination of these factors suggest Japanese equities have further to run. We also
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014448.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…eneficial for the NKY position. Chart 31: Japan equities have outperformed during US bear-steepening led by cyclicals, banks and insurance 125 Japan Sector = cyclical outperform on 10 4 UST bear-steepening 8 6 4 2 a 2 4 6 8 -10 424 USDJPY DXY MSCI JP MSCI JP/ Discretionary Fina...

The Bank of Mexico will meet on 29 September, and a 50bp rate hike is already priced in
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010611.txt Nov 23, 2015 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

The Bank of Mexico will meet on 29 September, and a 50bp rate hike is already priced in (Chart 4). A stronger hike, perhaps of 75bp, or a 50bp rate hike accompanied by a hawkish statement could lead to MXN strengthening in the very short run. Chart 3: Net speculative USD/MXN pos...

Stress testing CNY
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014762.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…? We forecast USD/CNY to rise to 7.25 by year-end 2017 based on sustained capital outflows from China and the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) allowing the exchange rate to depreciate accordingly. A key change in the PBoC’s new FX regime, announced in August 2015, is to raise the i...

Chart 86: Following last week’s GOP sweep, do you think regulatory relief is in the cards for
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014373.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…, | think there will be little meaningful impact to returns burden and subsequent impact change in regulatory burden to bank returns will be more gradual than what financial stocks are currently pricing in Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research = CCAR a product of regulator...

Report on Stem Cells future
email TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013482.txt Nov 22, 2012 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

From: Steven Victor MD 111.11111..... Sent: 11/23/2012 1:06:38 PM To: CC: Subject: Report on Stem Cells future PUBLISHED: 22 NOVEMBER 2012 The view from the US: Stem cell therapy steps up a gear with first approval and improved political climate Special Report Peter Winter Positi...

Chart 16: SAN, BNP, ING, ISP and DBK average 6M ATMf implied vol is
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014981.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ly low (13" percentile since 2008) correlation is priced near the high end of the reaiised range for the basket of EU banks Basket of SAN, BNP, ING, ISP & DBK 5 100% 90% 80% 80% 70% 60% 60% 40% 13th percentile 50% 40% 20% 2 fox oO = N o st ve) © ye 30% ss 8 & &§ B & &B & & ssss...

At this juncture, the Indian rupee seems to be the only one in the region that is expected
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014770.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…(Chart 69). We like the INR as the preferred long, followed by the IDR, as they offer high risk-adjusted carry, central banks are interested in keeping their currencies stable, current account deficits are bounded, and the currencies are not expensive relative to long term fundam...

demand. Our US economics team expects the stimulus to boost growth in H2 CY17 and
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014418.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…n already pays about 75% of US military hosting costs. However, it seems fair to assume that Japan will be expected to Bankof America <2 Merrill Lynch Japan Economics Viewpoint | 18 November 2016 9 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014418

Fwd: Larry Summers - Foreign Affairs - The Fusion of Civilizations
email TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026840.txt May 4, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…s. UN secretary-generals have been creatures of the permanent members of the Security Council, the leaders of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund have been drawn exclusively from the United States and Europe, and dominance in these financial institutions has occasi...

rc errti—“(iCssssi‘CSCSOCO LUDO
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014317.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

rc errti—“(iCssssi‘CSCSOCO LUDO Banks Takeaways With our conference coming a week following a historic US presidential election that helped boost bank stocks by 12%, bank management teams were generally optimistic with regards to the economic outlook heading into 2017. Greater f...